Lesson plan

Covariance function

In probability theory and statistics, the covariance function describes how much two random variables change together (their covariance) with varying spatial or temporal separation. For a random field or stochastic process Z(x) on a domain D, a covariance function C(x, y) gives the covariance of the values of the random field at the two locations x and y: C(x,y) := \operatorname{cov}(Z(x),Z(y)) = \mathbb{E}\Big[\big(Z(x)-\mathbb{E}[Z(x)]\big)\big(Z(y)-\mathbb{E}[Z(y)]\big) \Big].\, The same C(x, y) is called the autocovariance function in two instances: in time series (to denote exactly the same concept except that x and y refer to locations in time rather than in space), and in multivariate random fields (to refer to the covariance of a variable with itself, as opposed to the cross covariance between two different variables at different locations, Cov(Z(x 1 ), Y(x 2 ))).

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Article summary

In probability theory and statistics, the covariance function describes how much two random variables change together (their covariance) with varying spatial or temporal separation. For a random field or stochastic process Z(x) on a domain D, a covariance function C(x, y) gives the covariance of the values of the random field at the two locations x and y: C(x,y) := \operatorname{cov}(Z(x),Z(y)) = \mathbb{E}\Big[\big(Z(x)-\mathbb{E}[Z(x)]\big)\big(Z(y)-\mathbb{E}[Z(y)]\big) \Big].\, The same C(x, y) is called the autocovariance function in two instances: in time series (to denote exactly the same concept except that x and y refer to locations in time rather than in space), and in multivariate random fields (to refer to the covariance of a variable with itself, as opposed to the cross covariance between two different variables at different locations, Cov(Z(x 1 ), Y(x 2 ))).

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  1. Summarise the article in your own words. Which single claim would you verify first, and why?
  2. Which claim in this article is most likely to be revised as the sources update? How would you check its current status?
  3. If two sources disagreed about one of these facts, what would you need in order to trust one over the other?

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