Lesson plan

Disorder problem

In the study of stochastic processes in mathematics, a disorder problem or quickest detection problem (formulated by Kolmogorov) is the problem of using ongoing observations of a stochastic process to detect as soon as possible when the probabilistic properties of the process have changed. This is a type of change detection problem. An example case is to detect the change in the drift parameter of a Wiener process.

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Article summary

In the study of stochastic processes in mathematics, a disorder problem or quickest detection problem (formulated by Kolmogorov) is the problem of using ongoing observations of a stochastic process to detect as soon as possible when the probabilistic properties of the process have changed. This is a type of change detection problem. An example case is to detect the change in the drift parameter of a Wiener process.

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Discussion questions

  1. Summarise the article in your own words. Which single claim would you verify first, and why?
  2. Which claim in this article is most likely to be revised as the sources update? How would you check its current status?
  3. If two sources disagreed about one of these facts, what would you need in order to trust one over the other?

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