Lesson plan

King effect

except in the cases of the two "kings": China and India. The king effect is the name given by Jean Laherrère and Didier Sornette to the phenomenon in natural distributions where the top one or two members of a ranked set are clear outliers. These top one or two members are unexpectedly large and do not conform to the statistical distribution or rank-distribution which the remainder of the set follows. Distributions typically followed include the power-law distribution, that is a basis for the stretched exponential function, and parabolic fractal distribution. Laherrere and Sornette noted the King effect in the distributions of: * French city sizes (where the point representing Paris is the "king", failing to conform to the stretched exponential ), and similarly for other countries with a primate city, such as the United Kingdom (London), and the extreme case of Bangkok (see list of cities in Thailand). * Country populations (where only the points representing China and India fail to fit a stretched exponential ). Note, however, that the king effect is not limited to outliers with a positive evaluation attached to their rank: for rankings on an undesirable attribute, there may exist a pauper effect, with a similar detachment of extremely ranked data points from the reasonably distributed portion of the data set.

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Article summary

except in the cases of the two "kings": China and India. The king effect is the name given by Jean Laherrère and Didier Sornette to the phenomenon in natural distributions where the top one or two members of a ranked set are clear outliers. These top one or two members are unexpectedly large and do not conform to the statistical distribution or rank-distribution which the remainder of the set follows. Distributions typically followed include the power-law distribution, that is a basis for the stretched exponential function, and parabolic fractal distribution. Laherrere and Sornette noted the King effect in the distributions of: * French city sizes (where the point representing Paris is the "king", failing to conform to the stretched exponential ), and similarly for other countries with a primate city, such as the United Kingdom (London), and the extreme case of Bangkok (see list of cities in Thailand). * Country populations (where only the points representing China and India fail to fit a stretched exponential ). Note, however, that the king effect is not limited to outliers with a positive evaluation attached to their rank: for rankings on an undesirable attribute, there may exist a pauper effect, with a similar detachment of extremely ranked data points from the reasonably distributed portion of the data set.

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Discussion questions

  1. Summarise the article in your own words. Which single claim would you verify first, and why?
  2. Which claim in this article is most likely to be revised as the sources update? How would you check its current status?
  3. If two sources disagreed about one of these facts, what would you need in order to trust one over the other?

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