Lesson plan
Replacement migration
In demography, replacement migration is a theory of migration needed for a region to achieve a particular objective (demographic, economic or social). In most cases in which replacement migration has been implemented, it is to prevent a decline in the working population of a country and to keep the total population growing. Often, these overall declines in the population are influenced by low fertility rates. When fertility is lower than the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman and there is a longer life expectancy, this changes the age structure over time. Overall, the population will start to decline as there will not be enough children born to replace the population of people lost and the proportion of older individuals composing the population will continue to increase. One concern from this is that the age-dependency ratio will be affected, as the working-age population will have more dependents in older age to support. Therefore, replacement migration has been a proposed mechanism to try and combat declining population size, aging populations and help replenish the number of people in the working age groups. Projections calculating migration replacement are primarily demographics and theoretical exercises and not forecasts or recommendations.…
Article summary
In demography, replacement migration is a theory of migration needed for a region to achieve a particular objective (demographic, economic or social). In most cases in which replacement migration has been implemented, it is to prevent a decline in the working population of a country and to keep the total population growing. Often, these overall declines in the population are influenced by low fertility rates. When fertility is lower than the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman and there is a longer life expectancy, this changes the age structure over time. Overall, the population will start to decline as there will not be enough children born to replace the population of people lost and the proportion of older individuals composing the population will continue to increase. One concern from this is that the age-dependency ratio will be affected, as the working-age population will have more dependents in older age to support. Therefore, replacement migration has been a proposed mechanism to try and combat declining population size, aging populations and help replenish the number of people in the working age groups. Projections calculating migration replacement are primarily demographics and theoretical exercises and not forecasts or recommendations.…
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Discussion questions
- Summarise the article in your own words. Which single claim would you verify first, and why?
- Which claim in this article is most likely to be revised as the sources update? How would you check its current status?
- If two sources disagreed about one of these facts, what would you need in order to trust one over the other?
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